Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002187 0.002309 0.002438 0.002586 0.002752 0.002932 0.003144
2025-02-16 0.001995 0.002163 0.002350 0.002576 0.002846 0.003161 0.003566
2025-02-23 0.001897 0.002100 0.002335 0.002633 0.003009 0.003479 0.004137
2025-03-02 0.001781 0.002000 0.002261 0.002603 0.003053 0.003648 0.004541
2025-03-09 0.001677 0.001903 0.002178 0.002548 0.003051 0.003747 0.004860
2025-03-16 0.001634 0.001876 0.002177 0.002594 0.003186 0.004049 0.005546
2025-03-23 0.001592 0.001846 0.002168 0.002627 0.003302 0.004339 0.006292
2025-03-30 0.001533 0.001790 0.002121 0.002601 0.003325 0.004483 0.006817
2025-04-06 0.001466 0.001719 0.002049 0.002534 0.003279 0.004503 0.007098
2025-04-13 0.001419 0.001673 0.002007 0.002505 0.003287 0.004616 0.007615
2025-04-20 0.001342 0.001584 0.001903 0.002379 0.003131 0.004416 0.007351
2025-04-27 0.001313 0.001557 0.001882 0.002376 0.003171 0.004580 0.008027
2025-05-04 0.001298 0.001551 0.001893 0.002423 0.003306 0.004959 0.009511
2025-05-11 0.001270 0.001526 0.001876 0.002427 0.003369 0.005212 0.010838
2025-05-18 0.001259 0.001524 0.001891 0.002482 0.003530 0.005713 0.013583
2025-05-25 0.001227 0.001490 0.001858 0.002457 0.003539 0.005874 0.015192
2025-06-01 0.001190 0.001448 0.001812 0.002408 0.003498 0.005906 0.016250
2025-06-08 0.001179 0.001444 0.001820 0.002450 0.003637 0.006430 0.021357
2025-06-15 0.001166 0.001435 0.001822 0.002480 0.003756 0.006943 0.028910
2025-06-22 0.001141 0.001408 0.001794 0.002456 0.003761 0.007130 0.034668
2025-06-29 0.001108 0.001368 0.001746 0.002396 0.003683 0.007046 0.036447
2025-07-06 0.001085 0.001343 0.001718 0.002369 0.003676 0.007188 0.043875
2025-07-13 0.001043 0.001287 0.001643 0.002256 0.003472 0.006657 0.035019